|
Al, Host: |
Managing farm risk is always a problem. There have been
some changes in the Risk Management Association
can you
summarize what is coming up? |
|
Ken: |
The biggest thing
crop insurance is available on more
crops at more levels with more choices than ever before. Farmers
are using it now more than ever before. Also, this year we have
a 25% premium discount for farmers who choose the buy up levels
of coverage. We hope that farmers take advantage of it
we
think it will be a good buy this year. |
|
Al: |
Okay, you indicate it is available on more crops. Now,
I know corn, soybeans and that
.how about some of the lesser
crops
peanuts, rice and some of the others. |
|
Ken: |
Most people don"t think about it because agriculture is
so different around the country. People in Georgia are used to
using crop insurance on peanuts, tobacco, cotton and even fruits
and vegetables. We have 138 different crop insurance policies
covering almost all of the major crops
something like 80%
of the value of crops produced in America today. We still have
a lot to go
.but most of the larger crops are covered
and
we are adding about 10-12 new crops every year. |
|
Al: |
The idea is to be able to affordable offer crop protection
to the farmers. |
|
Ken: |
We have revenue and production coverage
we have choices
at the buy-up level, catastrophic level, limited buy-up level,
plus other add-ons. We have a new product called adjusted gross
income
farm coverage in 4 or 5 parts of the country
you
get a guarantee based on your tax records. Your history of gross
income. That is new. |
|
John: |
The minute you insure all farmers to some certain level
you
will raise it back to risk level that we are comfortable with
by either bidding up land or rent prices. Raise the safety net
and you simply move the high wire up to where you are starting
to get scared again. This is just a natural problem that happens
with insurance. But I must admit
we are taking about a wider
array of products that for even skeptics, such as myself, who
have never bought hail insurance let alone any kind of crop insurance
and
for my part of the country it hasn"t been a big sale at all.
However, recently
I am being forced into learning about
this and struggling and coping with some of the enormous volatility
I am seeing. Largely, I am being driven by looking at post holes
that are dry all the way down to 8 feet. This dawns on me that
I have significant production risk. Now, whether I look at production
risk products or CRC revenue type products
it's now a new
learning curve. And we have to learn to do it in order to compete. |
|
Program Break |
|
Al: |
When we left you, Ken Ackerman was just ready to respond
to John Phipps
comparing crop insurance to fire insurance.
And your comments were going to be Ken? |
|
Ken: |
Oh, my comment was very simple. There is a comparison.
If you know in Illinois that you have a drought once every ten
years or a flood once every 15 years the new have to design our
products so that we charge you the right amount of money that
makes it a good buy. And when you look at the numbers, in fact
Illinois does have losses
there were a lot of losses in
Illinois in 1988 with the big drought, in 1993 with the big flood
sometime
that is going to happen again. |
|
John: |
Well, my experience
25 years I"ve never been below 73%.
I checked that before I came on the show so I could
of my
trend line yields. So it has really been a tough sell. And that's
why our ground is more expensive. Now all these things even out
economically
I don"t have a quarrel with this. But I think
what is important here is that we have a real research problem
or at least effort that needs to be made by all farmers everywhere.
Crop insurance is not your dad's crop insurance anymore. And
there are some things you can do to help. I found the country
companies and the Illinois Farm Bureau have a web site that is
exceptionally good at..sitting down for me
people like me
who are sales
who would prefer to sit down and cram some
numbers through on our own. Good speed sheets, good analysis
there. And also the Anderson's has a grain company, that's a
great program that will help you analyze some of those things.
If you"ve never done it before you need to start learning. |
|
Al: |
Was there an opportunity a couple of years ago of coupling
crop insurance with participation in the farm program
that
is that if you were going to participate in the farm program
you had to be insured and that was to do away with the disaster
relief? |
|
Ken: |
Crop insurance was mandatory for one year. In order to
get a payment from the USDA you had to buy crop insurance. The
Congress repealed that
farmers don"t like being told what
to do. |
|
John: |
It was a never paid policy. |
|
Ken: |
Yeah, a lot of farmers just got the catastrophic level
policy and frankly the people who buy CAT coverage are our most
dissatisfied customers because when they do have a disaster it
doesn"t pay
just like what you are saying. But what's happening
now
|
|
Al: |
So wait, how can he beat that
your insurance has got
to be good or you wouldn"t be in business. |
|
Ken: |
What's happening is that over the last three or four years
farmers, more and more, are learning how to use crop insurance
and now, even thought it's not mandatory, it's totally voluntary,
we have record numbers of people today that are using crop insurance
who haven"t used it before. We now insure 200 million acres and
the reason is because we have choices and farmers are learning.
Farmers are using crop insurance not standing alone, not in isolation
of everything else but in combination of marketing plans, with
financial plans, with sitting down with a financial advisor and
making crop insurance fit in with their farm operation
not
simply something you buy on the side. |
|
John: |
Okay, good risk management or some kind of insurance, what
I"m looking at is some way to add more options to my marketing
plan that I think
the key to that is to have the marketing
plan in place first then go to find an insurance product that
will dovetail into that. But, you have to start with having some
recognizable marketing plan. |
|
Al: |
Now, there are a lot of people that can help you with your
marketing plan. Are those same people qualified to help you with
your insurance or do you need to go someplace? |
|
John: |
Sometimes not, and I think they are both very particular
instruments. I would be leery of having those two people become
one. There are some real conflicts of interest there. |
|
Ken: |
Let's say, more and more you are finding cases in local areas
of a crop insurance agent and a local financial analyst or a
local futures broker or a local banker working together and that's
something that is new in the last couple of years. |
|
Al: |
So your prediction is that we are going to insure what
percent of agriculture by the year 2005? |
|
Ken: |
Well, it will depend on what the economy
we"d like
to go to all of it. It will all depend on what Congress does
with crop reform insurance legislation currently before the Senate
Agriculture Committee. We"ve proposed a bill that would make
crop insurance more affordable and deal with some of the particular
problems with it. If that passes and we keep on the trend we
are on
I wouldn"t be surprised to see 80%-90% soon. We are
already seeing something like 70% of eligible acres being insured
by farmers. |
|
Al: |
Okay, is that true in your area John? |
|
John: |
No, it's not, we"re a pocket of non
and it's typical
of the eastern corn belt. And it's also one reason why Senator
Lugar in Indiana will be a difficult sell because this involves
the allocation of money to agriculture. We put it into crop insurance
that traditional 95% of the North Dakota farmers have used to..as
a resolve
and the Georgia farmers
or the congressmen
in Indiana, Illinois and Ohio whose participation levels are
in the 40% or 30% or something like that
.or in my area
in the low single digits. The political well is going to have
a shape on how we get these risk management products delivered
to us. |
|
Al: |
To sum this up
you are looking harder at insurance
this year? |
|
John: |
Yeah, for the first time and I"m not happy about it. It's
one more chore I have to do
but I"m doing it. |